Industry Trend Analysis - MEA Power Key Themes - JAN 2018


BMI View: The Middle East and Africa (MEA) power sector varies significantly in terms of the size of the power markets within the region, the level of development and the growth prospects for each sub-sector. We expect Middle East and North Africa (MENA) power capacity to total nearly 385GW by end-2018, whist Sub Sahara Africa (SSA) power capacity will total just 112GW by end-2018.

MENA: Gas To Take Centre Stage, Renewables Emerging Slowly

Gas will remain the dominant fuel in the MENA power mix over the coming decade and we expect the fuel to account for 72% of the total power generation mix by 2026. Several countries in the region depend on gas as the primary baseload thermal fuel in their power sectors already, including the UAE, Bahrain, Oman, Egypt and Qatar, and we are also seeing other countries in the region ramp-up gas usage in order to diversify away from oil - notably Saudi Arabia and Iran.

MENA Power Mix To Be Dominated By Gas
MENA - Electricity Generation By Type
e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: EIA, BMI

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